89th Academy Awards Predictions

Title says it all. I did this the last two years. Got a 20 out of 24 last time. Follow me, and maybe we can both be lucky and ace the Oscars this year.

The 89th Academy Awards will be on Feb. 26 on ABC at 8:30 p.m. EST.

Best Picture

ArrivalShawn Levy, Dan Levine, Aaron Ryder and David Linde

FencesScott Rudin, Denzel Washington and Todd Black

Hacksaw Ridge—Bill Mechanic and David Permut

Hell or High Water—Carla Hacken and Julie Yorn

Hidden Figures—Donna Gigliotti, Peter Chernin, Jenno Topping, Pharrell Williams and Theodore Melfi

La La Land—Fred Berger, Jordan Horowitz and Marc Platt

Lion—Emile Sherman, Iain Canning and Angie Fielder

Manchester by the Sea—Matt Damon, Kimberly Steward, Chris Moore, Lauren Beck and Kevin J. Walsh

Moonlight—Adele Romanski, Dede Gardner and Jeremy Kleiner

La La Land tied the record with Titanic and All About Eve with 14 Academy Award nominations. It’s hard to bet against it, but Moonlight has its eye on possibly pulling in two wins at the upcoming Screen Actors Guild ceremony which could help significantly.

Should Win: Hacksaw Ridge

Will Win: La La Land

Best Director

Denis Villeneuve – Arrival

Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge

Damien Chazelle – La La Land

Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea

Barry Jenkins – Moonlight

In the end, the conventional five that were bubbling around for weeks made the cut. Damien Chazelle would become the youngest Best Director winner ever if he won, while Barry Jenkins would be the first African-American director in history. It’s certainly a tight race.

Should Win: Moonlight

Will Win: La La Land

Best Actor

Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea as Lee Chandler

Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge as Desmond T. Doss

Ryan Gosling – La La Land as Sebastian

Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic as Ben

Denzel Washington – Fences as Troy Maxson

The Screen Actors Guild chosen five prevailed, but this is still a race between Casey Affleck and Denzel Washington.Yet, with La La Land’s historic showing, could Ryan Gosling make a play for it in the end? The Guild went for Denzel. Let’s see what happens.  

Should Win: Manchester by the Sea

Will Win: Fences

Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert – Elle as Michele Leblanc

Ruth Negga – Loving as Mildred

Natalie Portman – Jackie as Jackie Kennedy

Emma Stone – La La Land as Mia

Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins as Florence Foster Jenkins

Isabelle Huppert manages her way into the lineup to keep the Golden Globe picks going.  Predicting Ruth Negga was risky but it paid off. Still, I would have never thought it would have been at the cost of Amy Adams in Arrival. Emma Stone won at the Screen Actors Guild and looks to be on her way.

Should Win: La La Land

Will Win:La La Land

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali – Moonlight as Juan

Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water as Marcus Hamilton

Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea as Patrick

Dev Patel – Lion as Saroo Brierley

Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals as Bobby Andes

Watch out for Michael Shannon. That’s all I’m saying.

Should Win: Nocturnal Animals

Will Win: Moonlight

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis – Fences as Rose Maxon

Naomie Harris – Moonlight as Paula

Nicole Kidman – Lion as Sue Brierley

Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures as Dorothy Vaughan

Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea as Randi Chandler

Same five many predicted…same number one.  It’s all good from here.

Should Win: Viola Davis

Will Win: Viola Davis

Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water – Taylor Sheridan

La La Land – Damien Chazelle

The Lobster – Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthimis Filippou

Manchester by the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan

20th Century Women – Mike Mills

La La Land will be the first musical to win this award since The Producers.

Should Win: La La Land

Will Win: La La Land

Best Adapted Screenplay

Arrival – Eric Heisserer

Fences – August Wilson

Hidden Figures – Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi

Lion – Luke Davies

Moonlight – Barry Jenkins, Tarell Alvin McCraney

No big surprises here, but if August Wilson manages a win he would be the first posthumous winner since the writer for Gone with the Wind.  I think Lion has the goods to top Moonlight, but I’d also be looking at Hidden Figures to take this.

Should Win: Hidden Figures

Will Win: Moonlight

Best Animated Feature Film

Kubo and the Two Strings – Travis Knight and Arianne Sutner

Moana – John Musker, Ron Clements and Osnat Shurer

My Life as a Courgette – Claude Barras and Max Karli

The Red Turtle – Michaël Dudok de Wit and Toshio Suzuki

Zootopia – Byron Howard, Rich Moore, and Clark Spencer

With Kubo and the Two Strings snagging a Visual Effects nom, and Moana in Song, they could top Zootopia for the win. But the Producers Guild of America chose Zootopia (and so has everyone else).

Should Win:Kubo and the Two Strings

Will Win:Zootopia

Best Foreign Language Film

Land of Mine (Denmark) in Danish – Martin Zandvliet

A Man Called Ove (Sweden) in Swedish – Hannes Holm

The Salesman (Iran) in Persian – Asghar Farhadi

Tanna (Australia) in Nauvhal – Martin Butler and Bentley Dean

Toni Erdmann (Germany) in German – Maren Ade

Should Win: The Salesman

Will Win: The Salesman

Best Documentary – Feature

Fire at Sea – Gianfranco Rosi and Donatella Palermo

I Am Not Your Negro – Raoul Peck, Rémi Grellety, and Hébert Peck

Life, Animated – Roger Ross Williams and Julie Goldman

O.J.: Made in America – Ezra Edelman and Caroline Waterlow

13th – Ava DuVernay, Spencer Averick and Howard Barish

Should Win:O.J.: Made in America

Will Win:13th

Best Documentary – Short Subject

Extremis – Dan Krauss

4.1 Miles – Daphne Matziaraki

Joe’s Violin – Kahane Cooperman and Raphaela Neihausen

Watani: My Homeland – Marcel Mettelsiefen and Stephen Ellis

The White Helmets – Orlando von Einsiedel and Joanna Natasegara

Should Win: The White Helmets

Will Win: The White Helmets

Best Live Action Short Film

Ennemis intérieurs – Sélim Azzazi

La Femme et le TGV – Timo von Gunten and Giacun Caduff

Silent Nights – Aske Bang and Kim Magnusson

Sing – Kristóf Deák and Anna Udvardy

Timecode – Juanjo Giménez

Should Win: Silent Nights

Will Win: Silent Nights

Best Animated Short Film

Blind Vaysha – Theodore Ushev

Borrowed Time – Andrew Coats and Lou Hamou-Lhadj

Pear Cider and Cigarettes – Robert Valley and Cara Speller

Pearl – Patrick Osborne

Piper – Alan Barillaro and Marc Sondheimer

Should Win:Piper

Will Win:Piper

Best Original Score

Jackie – Mica Levi

La La Land – Justin Hurwitz

Lion – Dustin O’Halloran and Hauschka

Moonlight – Nicholas Britell

Passengers – Thomas Newman

Should Win:La La Land

Will Win:La La Land

Best Original Song

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land – Music by Justin Hurwitz, Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“Can’t Stop the Feeling!” from Trolls – Music and Lyric by Justin Timberlake, Max Martin, and Karl Johan Schuster (Shellback)

“City of Stars” from La La Land – Music by Justin Hurwitz, Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story – Music and Lyric by J. Ralph and Sting

“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana – Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda

Should Win: “How Far I’ll Go”

Will Win: “City Of Stars”

Best Sound Editing

Arrival — Sylvain Bellemare

Deepwater Horizon – Wylie Stateman and Renée Tondelli

Hacksaw Ridge – Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright

La La Land  – Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan

Sully – Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman

Should Win: Hacksaw Ridge

Will Win: Hacksaw Ridge

Best Sound Mixing

Arrival – Bernard GariépyStrobl and Claude La Haye

Hacksaw Ridge – Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie and Peter Grace

La La Land – Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee and Steve A. Morrow

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – David Parker, Christopher Scarabosio and Stuart Wilson

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi – Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Mac Ruth

Should Win:Hacksaw Ridge

Will Win:La La Land

Best Production Design

Arrival—Patrice Vermette (Production Design); Paul Hotte (Set Decoration)

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them—Stuart Craig (Production Design); Anna Pinnock (Set Decoration)

Hail, Caesar!—Jess Gonchor (Production Design); Nancy Haigh (Set Decoration)

La La Land—David Wasco (Production Design); Sandy Reynolds-Wasco (Set Decoration)

Passengers—Guy Hendrix Dyas (Production Design); Gene Serdena (Set Decoration)

Should Win:Jackie

Will Win:La La Land

Best Cinematography

Arrival – Bradford Young

La La Land – Linus Sandgren

Lion – Greig Fraser

Moonlight – James Laxton

Silence – Rodrigo Prieto

Should Win:Arrival

Will Win:La La Land

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

A Man Called Ove – Eva von Bahr and Love Larson

Star Trek Beyond – Joel Harlow and Richard Alonzo

Suicide Squad – Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini  and Christopher Nelson

Should Win:Star Trek Beyond

Will Win:Star Trek Beyond

Best Costume Design

Allied – Joanna Johnston

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them – Colleen Atwood

Florence Foster Jenkins – Consolata Boyle

Jackie – Madeline Fontaine

La La Land – Mary Zophres

Should Win: Jackie

Will Win:Jackie

Best Film Editing

Arrival – Joe Walker

Hacksaw Ridge – John Gilbert

Hell or High Water – Jake Roberts

La La Land – Tom Cross

Moonlight – Nat Sanders and Joi McMillon

Should Win:Hacksaw Ridge

Will Win: La La Land

Best Visual Effects

Deepwater Horizon – Craig Hammeck, Jason Snell, Jason Billington and Burt Dalton

Doctor Strange – Stephane Ceretti, Richard Bluff, Vincent Cirelli and Paul Corbould

The Jungle Book – Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Dan Lemmon

Kubo and the Two Strings – Steve Emerson, Oliver Jones, Brian McLean and Brad Schiff

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – John Knoll, Mohen Leo, Hal Hickel and Neil Corbould

Should Win:The Jungle Book

Will Win:The Jungle Book

Erik Jimenez

Erik Jimenez, 18, is a film major at North Campus. A 2014 graduate of Monsignor Edward Pace High School, Jimenez will write in the A/E section, mostly about the film industry, for The Reporter during the 2015-2016 school year. His interests include film history and filmmaking. Jimenez plans to have a career making films or writing about them.